Certain of patients’ clinical signs and symptoms have been shown to be predictive of survival in patients with advanced illness (Feinstein 1966, 1967, Vigano 2000, Hardy 1994, Morita 1999, Tamburini 1996).
From the advanced cancer literature, Vigano and colleagues examined 136 different variables from 22 studies and found that, after performance status, specific signs and symptoms were the next best predictors of patient survival (Vigano 2000).
The presence of:
- dyspnea,
- dysphagia,
- weight loss,
- xerostomia,
- anorexia, and
- cognitive impairment
had the most compelling evidence for independent association with patient survival in these studies.
The following table contains the range of median survivals for the various symptoms reported in univariate analyses from these and other studies.
Predictors of Survival with Advanced Cancer under Palliative Care |
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Index |
Value |
Median survival (d) |
References |
Karnofsky Performance Scale Status | 10-20 | 7-16 | 3,6,14,16,27,28,35 |
30-40 | 8-50 | ||
50 | 50-90 | ||
Anorexia | Present | < 58 | 14,28,35 |
Confusion | Present | <38 | 28,35 |
Dysphagia | Present | <30 | 14 |
Dyspnea | Present | <30 | 14 |
Xerostomia | Present | <50 | 35 |